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Red107
703446.7
552610.3
164036.9
Blue91
287227.3
171035.7
752729.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8991608010012014010791

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.71.0
39.040.0
Auto13.4
Teleop21.2
End12.1
red by 11.0
1710
#51
35.70.4
33.233.6
Auto8.6
Teleop20.4
End6.7
Second
1640
#16
36.91.0
36.137.1
Auto8.9
Teleop20.4
End7.6
red by 7.7
7527
#19
29.20.4
26.326.7
Auto7.7
Teleop10.7
End10.8
Third
5526
#76
10.31.0
9.210.2
Auto4.1
Teleop3.7
End2.5
blue by 17.0
2872
#37
27.30.4
26.126.5
Auto7.5
Teleop14.3
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
85%Cargo oddsEarned76%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
67%Hangar oddsEarned55%Hangar oddsEarned