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Red61
552610.3
580434.3
516633.5
Blue112
167635.2
876813.6
212248.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions849405015020061112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5804
#50DQ
34.31.3
33.732.4
Auto8.6
Teleop13.4
End12.3
blue by 13.9
48.31.1
46.847.9
Auto11.1
Teleop25.1
End12.1
Second
5166
#66
33.51.3
35.934.7
Auto9.8
Teleop13.6
End10.1
blue by 1.7
35.21.1
30.932.0
Auto7.4
Teleop16.3
End11.5
Third
5526
#76
10.31.3
10.28.9
Auto4.1
Teleop3.7
End2.5
blue by 3.3
8768
#73
13.61.1
9.410.6
Auto4.6
Teleop6.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
77%Cargo oddsMissed96%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
59%Hangar oddsMissed69%Hangar oddsEarned