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Red97
346131.6
333947.8
16628.5
Blue114
198645.8
301543.2
501337.1
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1121345010015020097114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.80.8
47.646.9
Auto12.3
Teleop26.8
End8.7
red by 2.0
1986
#17
45.81.4
43.742.3
Auto9.9
Teleop28.4
End7.5
Second
31.60.8
30.429.7
Auto6.6
Teleop12.7
End12.3
blue by 11.6
3015
#14
43.21.4
42.040.6
Auto10.3
Teleop20.0
End12.8
Third
166
#8
28.50.8
30.329.5
Auto4.7
Teleop12.5
End11.2
blue by 8.6
5013
#45
37.11.4
37.636.2
Auto7.2
Teleop20.9
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
91%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
98%Hangar oddsEarned91%Hangar oddsEarned