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Red128
2762.3
333947.8
178742.2
Blue144
171035.7
703446.7
168447.0
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17113350100150200250128144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#12
62.30.8
63.762.9
Auto14.0
Teleop34.9
End13.5
red by 15.3
1684
#18
47.00.2
47.247.4
Auto10.1
Teleop26.6
End10.3
Second
47.80.8
49.248.4
Auto12.3
Teleop26.8
End8.7
red by 1.1
46.70.2
46.947.1
Auto13.4
Teleop21.2
End12.1
Third
1787
#26
42.20.8
43.042.2
Auto8.4
Teleop20.3
End13.5
red by 6.5
1710
#51
35.70.2
35.936.1
Auto8.6
Teleop20.4
End6.7