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Red119
2762.3
333947.8
11433.2
Blue154
171035.7
703446.7
168447.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15713650100200250119154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#12
62.30.6
62.962.3
Auto14.0
Teleop34.9
End13.5
red by 15.3
1684
#18
47.00.3
47.447.6
Auto10.1
Teleop26.6
End10.3
Second
47.80.6
48.447.8
Auto12.3
Teleop26.8
End8.7
red by 1.1
46.70.3
47.147.4
Auto13.4
Teleop21.2
End12.1
Third
114
#33
33.20.6
33.833.2
Auto6.0
Teleop16.3
End10.9
blue by 2.5
1710
#51
35.70.3
36.136.4
Auto8.6
Teleop20.4
End6.7