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Semifinal 2-12022 Newton Division
Red118
300540.9
11151.8
212248.3
Blue152
291058.0
173036.0
97356.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15116350100200250118152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#6
51.80.6
52.4→51.9
Auto15.3
Teleop27.9
End8.6
blue by 6.2
2910
#3
58.00.2
58.4→58.2
Auto14.8
Teleop30.6
End12.6
Second
2122
#2
48.30.6
48.9→48.4
Auto11.1
Teleop25.1
End12.1
blue by 7.9
973
#10
56.20.2
56.6→56.4
Auto12.9
Teleop34.8
End8.5
Third
3005
#52
40.90.6
41.5→40.9
Auto11.6
Teleop22.9
End6.5
red by 5.0
1730
#15
36.00.2
36.0→35.8
Auto6.9
Teleop20.4
End8.7