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Red36
454614.8
237032.2
568741.9
Blue48
17217.9
23831.7
13073.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1024901502003648

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5687
#22
41.90.0
41.941.9
Auto11.7
Teleop17.2
End13.0
red by 10.3
238
#6
31.70.0
31.731.7
Auto12.1
Teleop9.9
End9.6
Second
2370
#14
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto6.4
Teleop14.4
End11.4
red by 14.3
172
#11
17.90.0
17.917.9
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End6.5
Third
4546
#17
14.80.0
14.814.8
Auto5.6
Teleop8.1
End1.1
red by 11.7
1307
#20
3.20.0
3.23.2
Auto2.7
Teleop-0.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
88%Cargo odds45%Cargo odds
Hangar
85%Hangar odds48%Hangar odds