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Red59
490917.6
13127.4
66909.5
Blue54
66317.8
46718.3
804615.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5656505560655954

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#4
27.40.1
26.927.0
Auto6.0
Teleop11.9
End9.4
red by 9.0
467
#9
18.30.1
18.818.7
Auto5.1
Teleop8.5
End4.8
Second
4909
#12
17.60.1
17.117.2
Auto4.9
Teleop10.6
End2.1
blue by 0.2
663
#11
17.80.1
18.318.2
Auto2.6
Teleop10.3
End4.9
Third
6690
#21
9.50.1
9.09.2
Auto3.2
Teleop0.5
End5.8
blue by 5.7
8046
#18
15.30.1
15.715.6
Auto5.3
Teleop6.5
End3.5