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Red52
66317.8
105814.9
12622.6
Blue8
67626.4
66909.5
17295.6
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51200406080100528

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
#5
22.60.9
17.218.1
Auto7.3
Teleop11.4
End3.9
red by 13.1
6690
#21
9.51.7
11.09.4
Auto3.2
Teleop0.5
End5.8
Second
663
#11
17.80.9
17.118.0
Auto2.6
Teleop10.3
End4.9
red by 11.4
6762
#39
6.41.7
5.03.3
Auto1.7
Teleop0.8
End3.9
Third
1058
#16
14.90.9
9.710.6
Auto4.9
Teleop6.3
End3.8
red by 9.4
1729
#36
5.61.7
7.05.3
Auto0.3
Teleop3.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
23%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsEarned20%Hangar oddsMissed