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Red16
127713.8
13074.9
676311.7
Blue8
47611.2
79138.0
5016.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28220104050607080168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1277
#10
13.81.1
10.99.8
Auto3.5
Teleop5.6
End4.7
red by 5.8
7913
#33
8.01.5
11.19.6
Auto3.6
Teleop3.4
End1.0
Second
6763
#13
11.71.1
10.69.5
Auto3.9
Teleop4.5
End3.3
red by 4.9
501
#37
6.81.5
5.64.1
Auto2.9
Teleop3.7
End0.1
Third
1307
#30
4.91.1
4.33.2
Auto1.7
Teleop1.7
End1.5
red by 3.8
4761
#38
1.21.5
5.03.5
Auto1.9
Teleop-0.2
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed11%Hangar oddsMissed