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Red61
9533.1
127713.8
12622.6
Blue53
66317.8
49878.9
346726.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413402060801006153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#3
33.12.6
14.216.8
Auto8.5
Teleop12.1
End12.6
red by 7.0
26.21.8
10.011.7
Auto4.6
Teleop11.3
End10.2
Second
126
#5
22.62.6
12.915.5
Auto7.3
Teleop11.4
End3.9
red by 4.8
663
#11
17.81.8
12.714.5
Auto2.6
Teleop10.3
End4.9
Third
1277
#10
13.82.6
10.413.0
Auto3.5
Teleop5.6
End4.7
red by 4.9
4987
#35
8.91.8
10.412.2
Auto3.5
Teleop3.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsEarned12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsEarned36%Hangar oddsMissed