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Red18
226211.9
49256.5
1519.7
Blue42
66909.5
59026.2
66317.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions233504060801842

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2262
#22
11.90.6
10.710.1
Auto2.8
Teleop4.2
End4.8
blue by 5.9
663
#11
17.81.2
18.019.1
Auto2.6
Teleop10.3
End4.9
Second
151
#14
9.70.6
6.45.8
Auto2.2
Teleop4.3
End3.2
red by 0.1
6690
#21
9.51.2
9.410.5
Auto3.2
Teleop0.5
End5.8
Third
4925
#24
6.50.6
6.25.6
Auto2.0
Teleop2.9
End1.6
red by 0.3
5902
#28
6.21.2
4.35.4
Auto2.5
Teleop2.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsEarned