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Red60
127713.8
346726.2
7823.0
Blue50
13127.4
105814.9
13074.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45330204060806050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.22.2
12.114.3
Auto4.6
Teleop11.3
End10.2
blue by 1.2
131
#4
27.41.5
18.520.0
Auto6.0
Teleop11.9
End9.4
Second
78
#7
23.02.2
18.720.8
Auto7.6
Teleop10.0
End5.4
red by 8.0
1058
#16
14.91.5
10.612.1
Auto4.9
Teleop6.3
End3.8
Third
1277
#10
13.82.2
9.811.9
Auto3.5
Teleop5.6
End4.7
red by 8.8
1307
#30
4.91.5
3.24.7
Auto1.7
Teleop1.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsEarned25%Hangar oddsMissed