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Red27
804615.3
676311.7
13127.4
Blue73
87086.4
740736.8
632836.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445620801002773

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#4
27.41.7
21.619.8
Auto6.0
Teleop11.9
End9.4
blue by 9.5
36.82.5
26.028.5
Auto12.3
Teleop13.8
End10.8
Second
8046
#18
15.31.7
12.911.1
Auto5.3
Teleop6.5
End3.5
blue by 21.0
36.32.5
20.523.0
Auto14.6
Teleop13.7
End8.1
Third
6763
#13
11.71.7
8.26.5
Auto3.9
Teleop4.5
End3.3
red by 5.3
8708
#23
6.42.5
4.26.7
Auto3.6
Teleop3.5
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
33%Cargo oddsMissed37%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed51%Hangar oddsMissed