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Red47
490917.6
676311.7
35669.1
Blue28
226211.9
151211.3
127713.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293802060801004728

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4909
#12
17.61.6
13.314.9
Auto4.9
Teleop10.6
End2.1
red by 3.8
1277
#10
13.81.1
15.014.0
Auto3.5
Teleop5.6
End4.7
Second
6763
#13
11.72.0
7.89.8
Auto3.9
Teleop4.5
End3.3
blue by 0.2
2262
#22
11.91.1
7.26.2
Auto2.8
Teleop4.2
End4.8
Third
3566
#31
9.12.0
6.88.8
Auto3.3
Teleop3.7
End2.0
blue by 2.2
1512
#27
11.31.1
12.010.9
Auto3.1
Teleop2.1
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed56%Hangar oddsMissed