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Red45
67626.4
7823.0
87086.4
Blue54
13074.9
151211.3
9533.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364410203040506070804554

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#7
23.00.2
23.023.2
Auto7.6
Teleop10.0
End5.4
blue by 10.2
95
#3
33.11.2
28.930.2
Auto8.5
Teleop12.1
End12.6
Second
6762
#39
6.40.2
6.26.5
Auto1.7
Teleop0.8
End3.9
blue by 4.8
1512
#27
11.31.2
10.611.8
Auto3.1
Teleop2.1
End6.1
Third
8708
#23
6.40.2
5.45.6
Auto3.6
Teleop3.5
End-0.7
red by 1.4
1307
#30
4.91.3
0.82.1
Auto1.7
Teleop1.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed52%Hangar oddsEarned