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Red80
19229.6
740736.8
8114.2
Blue31
105814.9
54918.2
872420.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484510203040607080908031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.81.0
33.234.2
Auto12.3
Teleop13.8
End10.8
red by 16.4
20.50.8
19.618.8
Auto7.2
Teleop9.7
End3.5
Second
1922
#29
9.60.9
8.29.1
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End0.3
blue by 5.3
1058
#16
14.90.9
15.414.4
Auto4.9
Teleop6.3
End3.8
Third
811
#34
4.20.8
3.44.2
Auto2.1
Teleop1.0
End1.0
blue by 4.0
5491
#32
8.21.1
7.56.4
Auto3.0
Teleop4.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
26%Cargo oddsEarned23%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
35%Hangar oddsMissed27%Hangar oddsMissed