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Red85
632836.3
740736.8
17295.6
Blue56
176819.9
872420.5
226211.9
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8551204060801001208556

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.80.2
35.735.9
Auto12.3
Teleop13.8
End10.8
red by 16.4
20.50.0
20.520.5
Auto7.2
Teleop9.7
End3.5
Second
36.30.2
35.235.4
Auto14.6
Teleop13.7
End8.1
red by 16.5
1768
#15
19.90.0
19.819.8
Auto6.6
Teleop8.6
End4.6
Third
1729
#36
5.60.2
4.44.6
Auto0.3
Teleop3.8
End1.5
blue by 6.3
2262
#22
11.90.0
11.911.9
Auto2.8
Teleop4.2
End4.8