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Qual 122022 Mayhem in Merrimack
Red68
271322.7
50115.7
59628.1
Blue51
346743.0
1909.9
105823.3
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4487020601001201401606851

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2713
#8
22.70.0
22.7→22.7
Auto8.0
Teleop11.6
End3.2
blue by 20.3
3467
#16
43.00.0
43.0→43.0
Auto10.3
Teleop19.5
End13.2
Second
501
#17
15.70.0
15.7→15.7
Auto6.2
Teleop3.6
End5.8
blue by 7.6
1058
#18
23.30.0
23.3→23.3
Auto7.4
Teleop7.4
End8.5
Third
5962
#3
8.10.0
8.1→8.1
Auto2.9
Teleop4.2
End1.0
blue by 1.9
190
#23
9.90.0
9.9→9.9
Auto4.3
Teleop3.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
28%Cargo odds44%Cargo odds
Hangar
28%Hangar odds88%Hangar odds