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Qual 212022 Mayhem in Merrimack
Red20
16624.4
105823.3
999311.1
Blue85
581344.0
176829.5
173515.8
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5410201502085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#9
24.40.0
24.4→24.4
Auto4.7
Teleop9.1
End10.6
blue by 19.6
5813
#5
44.00.0
44.0→44.0
Auto12.5
Teleop21.0
End10.5
Second
1058
#18
23.30.0
23.3→23.3
Auto7.4
Teleop7.4
End8.5
blue by 6.2
1768
#14
29.50.0
29.5→29.5
Auto8.6
Teleop13.3
End7.6
Third
9993
#21
11.10.0
11.1→11.1
Auto3.0
Teleop5.2
End3.6
blue by 4.7
1735
#7
15.80.0
15.8→15.8
Auto5.5
Teleop4.9
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
36%Cargo odds71%Cargo odds
Hangar
64%Hangar odds84%Hangar odds