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Red69
50115.7
16624.4
172918.3
Blue100
23841.3
13145.6
105823.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52128010015020069100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#9
24.40.0
24.424.4
Auto4.7
Teleop9.1
End10.6
blue by 21.2
131
#1
45.60.0
45.645.6
Auto12.3
Teleop21.8
End11.6
Second
1729
#15
18.30.0
18.318.3
Auto5.1
Teleop11.0
End2.2
blue by 23.0
238
#2
41.30.0
41.341.3
Auto12.1
Teleop16.6
End12.7
Third
501
#17
15.70.0
15.715.7
Auto6.2
Teleop3.6
End5.8
blue by 7.6
1058
#18
23.30.0
23.323.3
Auto7.4
Teleop7.4
End8.5