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Red103
23841.3
13145.6
105823.3
Blue99
271322.7
999211.1
632839.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1266105010015020010399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#1
45.60.0
45.645.6
Auto12.3
Teleop21.8
End11.6
red by 6.4
39.20.0
39.239.2
Auto12.1
Teleop17.6
End9.6
Second
238
#2
41.30.0
41.341.3
Auto12.1
Teleop16.6
End12.7
red by 18.6
22.70.0
22.722.7
Auto8.0
Teleop11.6
End3.2
Third
1058
#18
23.30.0
23.323.3
Auto7.4
Teleop7.4
End8.5
red by 12.2
9992
#22
11.10.0
11.111.1
Auto3.0
Teleop5.2
End3.6