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Red77
17217.9
490932.2
346739.6
Blue97
13147.5
226218.0
50922.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102924060801201407797

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.60.4
41.240.8
Auto9.1
Teleop19.6
End10.9
blue by 7.9
131
#3
47.50.0
47.347.4
Auto14.9
Teleop23.1
End9.6
Second
4909
#12
32.20.4
33.833.4
Auto8.9
Teleop13.4
End9.9
red by 9.7
509
#14
22.50.0
22.322.3
Auto6.6
Teleop5.9
End10.0
Third
172
#24
17.90.4
19.519.1
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End6.5
blue by 0.1
2262
#20
18.00.0
17.817.9
Auto4.2
Teleop2.5
End11.3