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Red34
147413.3
23831.7
8830.8
Blue44
13817.0
192216.8
50115.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1164701001503444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#21
31.74.4
41.336.9
Auto12.1
Teleop9.9
End9.6
red by 14.6
138
#7
17.00.6
16.716.2
Auto3.3
Teleop3.3
End10.4
Second
88
#26
30.84.4
41.036.6
Auto8.8
Teleop15.4
End6.7
red by 14.1
16.80.6
20.119.5
Auto3.8
Teleop8.8
End4.2
Third
1474
#23
13.34.4
17.813.4
Auto4.0
Teleop6.8
End2.6
blue by 1.9
501
#17
15.20.6
15.715.1
Auto5.9
Teleop3.7
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
85%Cargo oddsMissed29%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
94%Hangar oddsMissed58%Hangar oddsEarned