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Red52
490932.2
173511.8
63246.7
Blue69
7829.6
50115.2
16622.3
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions557501001502005269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4909
#12
32.20.1
35.034.9
Auto8.9
Teleop13.4
End9.9
red by 2.6
78
#2
29.60.1
32.332.4
Auto9.7
Teleop9.6
End10.3
Second
1735
#22
11.80.1
13.513.3
Auto5.1
Teleop3.6
End3.1
blue by 10.4
166
#6
22.30.1
22.222.2
Auto4.2
Teleop6.3
End11.7
Third
6324
#28
6.70.1
5.35.2
Auto2.8
Teleop2.9
End1.0
blue by 8.6
501
#17
15.20.1
13.713.7
Auto5.9
Teleop3.7
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed30%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
52%Hangar oddsMissed94%Hangar oddsEarned