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Red37
13817.0
226218.0
17217.9
Blue70
173511.8
13147.5
872420.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions579402040801201401603770

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2262
#20
18.01.4
16.715.3
Auto4.2
Teleop2.5
End11.3
blue by 29.5
131
#3
47.51.2
45.944.7
Auto14.9
Teleop23.1
End9.6
Second
172
#24
17.91.4
22.621.2
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End6.5
blue by 2.4
8724
#10
20.31.2
24.423.2
Auto7.6
Teleop8.8
End4.0
Third
138
#7
17.01.4
18.717.3
Auto3.3
Teleop3.3
End10.4
red by 5.2
1735
#22
11.81.2
13.312.2
Auto5.1
Teleop3.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
46%Cargo oddsMissed70%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
92%Hangar oddsEarned66%Hangar oddsMissed