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Red28
490932.2
73141.0
8117.0
Blue119
13147.5
490535.0
13817.0
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48112010015020028119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4909
#12
32.21.7
36.935.3
Auto8.9
Teleop13.4
End9.9
blue by 15.3
131
#3
47.51.2
45.646.8
Auto14.9
Teleop23.1
End9.6
Second
811
#15
7.01.7
11.09.3
Auto2.7
Teleop0.8
End3.6
blue by 28.0
35.01.2
35.336.4
Auto7.3
Teleop17.1
End10.6
Third
7314
#27
1.01.7
4.93.2
Auto0.5
Teleop0.1
End0.3
blue by 16.0
138
#7
17.01.2
16.217.4
Auto3.3
Teleop3.3
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
25%Cargo oddsMissed92%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
43%Hangar oddsMissed96%Hangar oddsEarned