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Red59
50115.2
1518.6
490535.0
Blue97
13147.5
7829.6
28769.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions611000501502005997

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.00.2
36.436.2
Auto7.3
Teleop17.1
End10.6
blue by 12.5
131
#3
47.50.3
46.847.1
Auto14.9
Teleop23.1
End9.6
Second
501
#17
15.20.2
15.114.9
Auto5.9
Teleop3.7
End5.6
blue by 14.4
78
#2
29.60.3
31.832.1
Auto9.7
Teleop9.6
End10.3
Third
151
#18
8.60.2
10.610.4
Auto2.7
Teleop2.8
End3.0
blue by 1.1
2876
#16
9.60.3
10.410.7
Auto4.9
Teleop1.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
38%Cargo oddsMissed75%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
69%Hangar oddsEarned84%Hangar oddsEarned