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Semifinal pool 1-62022 RiverRage 25
Red90
13147.5
147413.3
50922.5
Blue71
23831.7
31927.3
172919.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8382758085909071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#3
47.50.0
44.744.7
Auto14.9
Teleop23.1
End9.6
red by 15.8
238
#21
31.70.3
31.331.0
Auto12.1
Teleop9.9
End9.6
Second
509
#14
22.50.0
19.719.7
Auto6.6
Teleop5.9
End10.0
blue by 4.9
319
#5
27.30.3
27.026.7
Auto4.8
Teleop11.7
End10.8
Third
1474
#23
13.30.0
13.313.3
Auto4.0
Teleop6.8
End2.6
blue by 6.6
19.90.3
18.918.6
Auto5.4
Teleop10.7
End3.8