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Red105
13346.0
23837.3
264816.9
Blue77
632941.3
456432.8
632411.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1109040608010012014016010577

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#2
46.00.1
46.146.2
Auto12.9
Teleop23.6
End9.5
red by 4.7
41.30.3
41.941.5
Auto9.9
Teleop18.5
End12.8
Second
238
#1
37.30.1
37.437.5
Auto12.5
Teleop14.0
End10.8
red by 4.5
32.80.3
33.433.1
Auto9.8
Teleop11.0
End12.1
Third
2648
#13
16.90.1
16.917.0
Auto5.2
Teleop7.7
End4.0
red by 5.4
6324
#22
11.50.3
12.111.7
Auto2.2
Teleop3.3
End6.0