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Red40
66319.2
151217.5
545918.9
Blue58
31926.1
5833.2
767417.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56882040801001201404058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
663
#12
19.20.4
19.619.2
Auto4.0
Teleop11.6
End3.6
blue by 14.0
58
#8
33.20.5
33.833.4
Auto8.4
Teleop14.6
End10.2
Second
5459
#25
18.90.4
19.318.9
Auto5.4
Teleop8.8
End4.7
blue by 7.2
319
#19
26.10.5
26.726.3
Auto6.1
Teleop10.2
End9.8
Third
17.50.4
17.917.5
Auto5.3
Teleop5.6
End6.6
blue by 0.1
7674
#31
17.60.5
18.217.7
Auto4.3
Teleop2.4
End10.8