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Red69
669016.3
568735.2
50921.1
Blue70
490623.9
804620.2
264816.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions694502060801001201406970

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.20.5
32.833.3
Auto8.0
Teleop15.8
End11.4
red by 11.3
4906
#21
23.91.7
18.119.8
Auto7.7
Teleop11.9
End4.3
Second
509
#14
21.10.5
18.118.6
Auto5.6
Teleop5.4
End10.2
red by 0.9
8046
#11
20.21.7
14.816.5
Auto7.1
Teleop8.5
End4.7
Third
6690
#16
16.30.5
10.410.9
Auto6.3
Teleop5.1
End4.9
blue by 0.6
2648
#13
16.91.7
12.213.9
Auto5.2
Teleop7.7
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
90%Hangar oddsEarned22%Hangar oddsMissed