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Red54
454614.8
67625.9
5833.2
Blue72
802312.6
841014.7
632941.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52572040801005472

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
#8
33.20.2
27.627.4
Auto8.4
Teleop14.6
End10.2
blue by 8.1
41.31.3
35.036.3
Auto9.9
Teleop18.5
End12.8
Second
4546
#36
14.80.2
15.615.3
Auto5.6
Teleop8.1
End1.1
red by 0.1
8410
#29
14.71.3
8.910.2
Auto3.0
Teleop4.2
End7.6
Third
6762
#39
5.90.2
6.15.9
Auto1.5
Teleop0.9
End3.5
blue by 6.7
8023
#32
12.61.3
8.810.1
Auto3.3
Teleop3.0
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
36%Cargo oddsEarned38%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed56%Hangar oddsEarned