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Red48
615316.3
73144.9
31926.1
Blue41
183112.2
669016.3
24611.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49350204060801004841

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#19
26.10.3
25.826.0
Auto6.1
Teleop10.2
End9.8
red by 9.8
6690
#16
16.30.4
12.012.4
Auto6.3
Teleop5.1
End4.9
Second
6153
#18
16.30.3
14.714.9
Auto4.2
Teleop7.9
End4.2
red by 4.2
1831
#30
12.20.4
12.512.9
Auto3.6
Teleop2.8
End5.8
Third
7314
#34
4.90.3
3.63.9
Auto1.8
Teleop0.7
End2.4
blue by 6.9
246
#40
11.80.4
9.910.4
Auto4.0
Teleop4.1
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
33%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed27%Hangar oddsEarned