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Red55
151217.5
49256.0
568735.2
Blue60
24611.8
73144.9
13346.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605802040801001201401605560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.20.1
35.635.6
Auto8.0
Teleop15.8
End11.4
blue by 10.8
133
#2
46.00.4
40.140.5
Auto12.9
Teleop23.6
End9.5
Second
17.50.1
12.812.7
Auto5.3
Teleop5.6
End6.6
red by 5.7
246
#40
11.80.4
10.410.7
Auto4.0
Teleop4.1
End3.7
Third
4925
#35
6.00.1
7.67.5
Auto2.7
Teleop0.7
End2.6
red by 1.2
7314
#34
4.90.4
3.94.3
Auto1.8
Teleop0.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
78%Hangar oddsEarned36%Hangar oddsMissed