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Red35
632941.3
669016.3
61615.4
Blue81
23837.3
13073.2
13133.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions436901001502003581

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.30.6
33.132.6
Auto9.9
Teleop18.5
End12.8
red by 4.0
238
#1
37.31.1
28.930.0
Auto12.5
Teleop14.0
End10.8
Second
6690
#16
16.30.6
9.59.0
Auto6.3
Teleop5.1
End4.9
blue by 17.2
131
#9
33.61.1
27.428.4
Auto7.8
Teleop16.1
End9.7
Third
6161
#24
5.40.6
0.80.3
Auto2.9
Teleop2.3
End0.2
red by 2.3
1307
#37
3.21.1
4.96.0
Auto2.7
Teleop-0.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed44%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
57%Hangar oddsMissed73%Hangar oddsMissed