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Red34
13073.2
61615.4
16624.3
Blue30
13133.6
52658.4
73144.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33510204060803430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#15
24.30.5
22.722.2
Auto3.8
Teleop11.2
End9.4
blue by 9.3
131
#9
33.61.0
31.730.7
Auto7.8
Teleop16.1
End9.7
Second
6161
#24
5.40.5
4.03.5
Auto2.9
Teleop2.3
End0.2
blue by 2.9
5265
#38
8.41.0
9.48.3
Auto3.6
Teleop3.4
End1.3
Third
1307
#37
3.20.5
6.56.0
Auto2.7
Teleop-0.3
End0.8
blue by 1.7
7314
#34
4.91.0
4.33.2
Auto1.8
Teleop0.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
24%Cargo oddsMissed35%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsMissed