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Red83
73144.9
5833.2
16624.3
Blue36
66319.2
490623.9
52658.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62553040507080901008336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
#8
33.21.5
30.431.9
Auto8.4
Teleop14.6
End10.2
red by 9.3
4906
#21
23.91.3
23.622.3
Auto7.7
Teleop11.9
End4.3
Second
166
#15
24.31.5
23.224.7
Auto3.8
Teleop11.2
End9.4
red by 5.1
663
#12
19.21.3
20.519.2
Auto4.0
Teleop11.6
End3.6
Third
7314
#34
4.91.5
3.24.7
Auto1.8
Teleop0.7
End2.4
blue by 3.5
5265
#38
8.41.3
8.16.8
Auto3.6
Teleop3.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
63%Cargo oddsEarned38%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
32%Hangar oddsEarned33%Hangar oddsMissed