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Red58
447311.7
13133.6
59029.2
Blue52
632411.5
24611.8
804620.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53411020306070805852

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#9
33.60.6
31.231.8
Auto7.8
Teleop16.1
End9.7
red by 13.3
8046
#11
20.20.3
19.920.1
Auto7.1
Teleop8.5
End4.7
Second
4473
#17
11.70.6
9.610.3
Auto4.2
Teleop4.6
End2.9
blue by 0.1
246
#40
11.80.3
10.110.4
Auto4.0
Teleop4.1
End3.7
Third
5902
#33
9.20.6
7.78.4
Auto4.5
Teleop1.8
End3.0
blue by 2.2
6324
#22
11.50.3
10.010.2
Auto2.2
Teleop3.3
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
43%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
34%Hangar oddsEarned42%Hangar oddsMissed