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Red21
841014.7
183112.2
264816.9
Blue54
24611.8
151217.5
5833.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3353020801001201401602154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2648
#13
16.90.8
13.112.2
Auto5.2
Teleop7.7
End4.0
blue by 16.3
58
#8
33.20.2
26.026.1
Auto8.4
Teleop14.6
End10.2
Second
8410
#29
14.70.8
9.68.7
Auto3.0
Teleop4.2
End7.6
blue by 2.8
17.50.2
11.311.4
Auto5.3
Teleop5.6
End6.6
Third
1831
#30
12.20.8
11.110.3
Auto3.6
Teleop2.8
End5.8
red by 0.4
246
#40
11.80.2
10.410.5
Auto4.0
Teleop4.1
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsMissed58%Hangar oddsMissed