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Red50
476116.0
632411.5
50921.1
Blue54
16624.3
264816.9
456432.8
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4688204060801001205054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
509
#14
21.10.1
21.621.7
Auto5.6
Teleop5.4
End10.2
blue by 11.7
32.81.6
34.132.6
Auto9.8
Teleop11.0
End12.1
Second
4761
#10
16.00.1
15.915.9
Auto4.0
Teleop4.1
End7.9
blue by 8.3
166
#15
24.31.6
25.023.5
Auto3.8
Teleop11.2
End9.4
Third
6324
#22
11.50.1
11.111.2
Auto2.2
Teleop3.3
End6.0
blue by 5.4
2648
#13
16.91.6
18.416.8
Auto5.2
Teleop7.7
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsMissed93%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
84%Hangar oddsEarned89%Hangar oddsEarned