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Red41
16624.3
791311.1
59029.2
Blue38
802312.6
67625.9
804620.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4841102030607080904138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#15
24.30.2
23.523.3
Auto3.8
Teleop11.2
End9.4
red by 4.1
8046
#11
20.20.4
20.219.8
Auto7.1
Teleop8.5
End4.7
Second
7913
#28
11.10.2
11.311.1
Auto4.2
Teleop4.1
End2.8
blue by 1.5
8023
#32
12.60.4
13.012.6
Auto3.3
Teleop3.0
End6.3
Third
5902
#33
9.20.2
9.59.2
Auto4.5
Teleop1.8
End3.0
red by 3.4
6762
#39
5.90.4
6.25.9
Auto1.5
Teleop0.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
24%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
35%Hangar oddsEarned31%Hangar oddsMissed