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Red129
181113.1
314233.0
253946.3
Blue63
127916.6
249524.5
589544.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90101020040060080012963

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.32.6
41.944.5
Auto8.8
Teleop25.8
End11.6
red by 1.6
5895
#11
44.72.0
50.248.2
Auto12.9
Teleop25.8
End6.0
Second
33.02.6
30.132.7
Auto10.2
Teleop13.3
End9.5
red by 8.5
24.52.0
25.723.7
Auto7.9
Teleop11.1
End5.5
Third
1811
#32
13.12.6
14.016.6
Auto5.4
Teleop3.2
End4.6
blue by 3.5
1279
#13
16.62.0
17.415.4
Auto5.2
Teleop8.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
79%Cargo oddsEarned95%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
85%Hangar oddsEarned68%Hangar oddsMissed