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Red47
33314.8
691114.5
7523.1
Blue139
253946.3
689716.6
192326.8
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5294015020047139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75
#6
23.10.8
22.822.1
Auto4.9
Teleop13.5
End4.6
blue by 23.2
46.32.7
44.647.3
Auto8.8
Teleop25.8
End11.6
Second
333
#9
14.80.8
15.314.5
Auto2.7
Teleop5.6
End6.6
blue by 12.0
26.82.7
23.426.1
Auto7.3
Teleop14.8
End4.7
Third
6911
#28
14.50.8
16.215.5
Auto6.5
Teleop3.1
End5.0
blue by 2.1
6897
#19
16.62.7
14.917.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.2
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed86%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
62%Hangar oddsMissed76%Hangar oddsEarned