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Red58
7510.1
314221.9
257710.4
Blue25
5610.7
704516.8
181114.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40461020306070805825

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.90.3
20.721.0
Auto7.4
Teleop10.4
End4.0
red by 5.1
16.80.4
17.216.8
Auto5.3
Teleop6.6
End4.9
Second
2577
#20
10.40.4
9.09.4
Auto2.2
Teleop3.4
End4.9
blue by 3.7
1811
#19
14.10.4
14.514.1
Auto4.2
Teleop5.7
End4.2
Third
75
#24
10.10.4
8.79.1
Auto3.3
Teleop6.6
End0.3
blue by 0.6
56
#17
10.70.4
11.110.7
Auto3.0
Teleop2.0
End5.8