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Red80
2519.4
4124.2
42859.3
Blue57
20316.9
55511.6
125713.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5342102030607080908057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41
#2
24.20.7
22.723.4
Auto4.8
Teleop12.3
End7.1
red by 7.3
203
#15
16.90.4
16.617.0
Auto6.3
Teleop6.0
End4.6
Second
25
#3
19.40.7
18.018.6
Auto6.3
Teleop6.6
End6.5
red by 6.2
1257
#13
13.20.4
13.013.3
Auto2.8
Teleop7.1
End3.4
Third
4285
#25
9.30.6
7.78.4
Auto3.2
Teleop3.0
End3.0
blue by 2.3
555
#9
11.60.4
11.311.7
Auto4.0
Teleop4.5
End3.1