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Red38
86304.8
191418.2
181114.1
Blue40
167619.8
573216.8
87141.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27350102040506070803840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.21.3
9.811.1
Auto2.8
Teleop10.6
End4.8
blue by 1.6
19.80.1
15.715.8
Auto3.9
Teleop12.4
End3.5
Second
1811
#19
14.11.3
10.011.3
Auto4.2
Teleop5.7
End4.2
blue by 2.7
16.80.1
9.39.3
Auto4.8
Teleop6.8
End5.2
Third
8630
#35DQ
4.81.3
6.78.0
Auto1.2
Teleop2.2
End1.4
red by 3.4
8714
#33
1.40.1
6.56.6
Auto1.6
Teleop1.2
End-1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsEarned15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed