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Red46
314221.9
86284.8
704516.8
Blue4
81307.7
35153.8
55511.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32190104050607080464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.91.9
13.815.7
Auto7.4
Teleop10.4
End4.0
red by 10.3
555
#9
11.62.2
8.15.9
Auto4.0
Teleop4.5
End3.1
Second
16.81.9
6.58.5
Auto5.3
Teleop6.6
End4.9
red by 9.0
8130
#16
7.72.2
5.23.0
Auto3.1
Teleop2.0
End2.6
Third
8628
#28
4.81.9
8.310.3
Auto1.8
Teleop2.3
End0.6
red by 0.9
3515
#27
3.82.2
6.64.4
Auto1.6
Teleop2.2
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed14%Hangar oddsMissed