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Red63
573216.8
162614.7
191418.2
Blue49
4124.2
5610.7
167619.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39462060806349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.22.8
14.917.7
Auto2.8
Teleop10.6
End4.8
blue by 6.0
41
#2
24.20.8
16.517.3
Auto4.8
Teleop12.3
End7.1
Second
16.82.8
10.813.6
Auto4.8
Teleop6.8
End5.2
blue by 3.0
19.80.8
14.515.3
Auto3.9
Teleop12.4
End3.5
Third
1626
#11
14.72.8
12.014.8
Auto2.2
Teleop8.9
End3.6
red by 4.0
56
#17
10.70.8
10.911.7
Auto3.0
Teleop2.0
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsEarned18%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsEarned