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Red10
86304.8
87141.4
20316.9
Blue26
42859.3
86284.8
75876.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2823010204050601026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203
#15
16.91.8
13.812.1
Auto6.3
Teleop6.0
End4.6
red by 7.6
4285
#25
9.30.4
8.38.7
Auto3.2
Teleop3.0
End3.0
Second
8630
#35
4.81.8
7.86.1
Auto1.2
Teleop2.2
End1.4
blue by 1.3
7587
#29
6.00.4
6.26.6
Auto2.4
Teleop0.7
End3.0
Third
8714
#33
1.41.8
4.32.5
Auto1.6
Teleop1.2
End-1.5
blue by 3.4
8628
#28
4.80.4
7.98.3
Auto1.8
Teleop2.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
8%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsMissed